Metrics typically reported in sports media to help understand the performance of lineups include +/- and efficiency ratings. Overall they do a pretty good job in describing the performance of a lineup except for when they do not. For instance, during garbage times points scored/allowed can directly overvalue/undervalue the performance of a lineup. Of course,… Read More Lineups in Basketball and Win Probability Added
It is this time of the year again where the euroleague is ready to kick off its playoffs on the road to the final 4. We helped you get a sense of what to expect using a simple regression-based rating model. Note that the model is a vanilla regression model without all the bells and whistles… Read More Euroleague 2017-18: Playoff and Final-4 projections
If the regular season serves as an indicator for what we will see in the playofss, we are certainly in for a treat! With the playoffs for the Basketball Champions League right around the corner, we make our predictions – that will keep being updated as the playoffs progress. First we start with the final… Read More Basketball Champions League Predictions: Playoffs 2017-18
Evaluating lineups has traditionally been one of the tasks that “analytics” are commissioned with in basketball (and other sports with frequent substitutions). 5, 3 and 2 men lineups are typically analyzed, with the latter two offering a larger sample to work with. The metric that is typically utilized to evaluate the performance of a lineup… Read More Basketball Lineup Ratings: a Bayesian Adjustment Approach
Happy New Year! And happy new NFL season, that is, the NFL playoffs! The 12 teams that made it this year are already known and this upcoming weekend the wild card games are happening. Our predictions are based on 100,000 simulations of the tournament with the win probabilities obtained from the football prediction matchup algorithm… Read More January Football is Back: NFL playoff predictions
Shooting charts have been an integral part of a basketball game’s summary for quiet some time now. Fans like visual information and can easily grasp it. However, if one wants to understand the shooting patterns of teams/players and how they differ (and how potentially this can drive pre-game scouting and in-game strategy) heuristic comparison of… Read More A Shooting Dictionary for Players and Teams in Basketball Champions League
A recent article described how the volume of three-point shots taken in the Basketball Champions League (BCL) has shown an increasing trend – in alignment with the trend in the NBA that has been observed for several years now and has coincided with the ascent of the analytics movement in the sport. The analytical explanation of… Read More Offensive and Defensive Efficiency in Basketball Champions League
